A national research institute has estimated that Japan’s population in 2070 will be 30% smaller than it is now, reaching 87 million. On the other hand, the institute also states that the speed of population decline will be somewhat slower due to the increasing number of foreigners living in the country.
According to the “Population Projections for Japan” released today by the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, the total fertility rate, which indicates the number of children a woman will have, is projected to be 1.36 in 2070.
Compared to 2020, when the total fertility rate was “1.33,” the rate has hardly changed in 50 years and has not reached the “2 or higher” required to maintain the population. In addition, the estimate published six years ago put the fertility rate in 50 years at “1.44,” and this time it was projected to be lower than that.
The estimates then project that the population, which was 126.15 million in 2020, will fall below 100 million in 2056 and 87 million in 2070. In 2070, the percentage of the population aged 65 and over will increase from 28.6% in 2020 to 38.7%.
On the other hand, the report states that the speed of population decline will be somewhat slower due to the increasing number of foreigners living in Japan and the outlook for further increases in average life expectancy.
The previous estimate was for the population to fall below 100 million in “2053,” but the new estimate is for “2056,” which is three years later than the previous estimate.
source:https://news.biglobe.ne.jp/domestic/0426/tbs_230426_7067239771.html
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